The 143rd Kentucky Derby is May 6th at Churchill Downs in Kentucky and a 70% chance of rain is in the forecast. Finding a good mudder in this group of 20 is nearly impossible. We thank Mike Battaglia, the odds maker at Churchill Downs, for giving us a morning line favorite at 4-1, Classic Empire, but come race day his odds will plummet from that enticing 4-1.
Mudders with potential:
SUNNYSKY E-R2204 3-4S 2300KV Lightweight CCW CW Brushless Motor for RC Drone MOClassic Empire (4-1): Broke his maiden on a wet surface at Churchill Downs in 2016. Veteran rider Julien Leparoux has been aboard for all of Classic Empire’s starts.
Tapwrit (20-1): Also broke his maiden over a wet surface. My concern with Tapwrit is that his head is not in the game. He’s worth at look in a superfecta at this price and on Derby Day.
2017 FORD F-150 RAPTOR CLEAR BODY FOR 12.8 WHEELBASE TRX-4 - PR3509-00Drift Off-road Vehicle Remote Control High Speed Climbing Racing Car Toy ModelGormley (15-1): Also has a win on a wet surface in California, but a wet surface in Southern California is very different than a wet surface in Kentucky. The only advantage for Gormley is his veteran jockey, Victor Espinoza. Gormley races well in California but the ship to Kentucky is a mystery.
Battle of Midway (30-1): Another California shipper who broke his maiden on a wet Santa Anita surface. Finished second behind Gormley in the Santa Anita Derby, has always been in the money in all of his four races. In a very scattered Derby, this horse deserves a look, especially at this price.
The Real Deals:
Classic Empire has been on my radar (and everyone else’s) HPI A959 SUPER FRONT ONE-WAY DIFFERENTIAL 39Tsince he won the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile. He’s kind of a sassy horse. He’s been known to train when he feels like it, but certainly shows up for the race. With his veteran jockey, consistent money finishes on his resume, and can run on a wet surface, Classic Empire lands on the top of my list. Besides all that, he’s American Pharaoh’s little brother. So the pedigree is perfect.
HAKRC Mini F4 Flytower F4 Flight Controller Built In OSD 20A 4 IN 1 ESC BLHeli_SRadiolink F110S Drone Racing 40CH R6DSM Receiver Transmitter FPV Aircraft
McCracken (5-1): McCracken finished third in his last race behind Practical Joke and Irap in the Bluegrass, but again, he didn’t need to win because he was already in with his win in the Sam F. Davis Stakes. Until the Bluegrass, McCracken was undefeated, and veteran jockey Brian Hernandez, Jr. has been with him from the first race.Traxxas Spartan dual trim tabs RED
Filling out the Superfecta:
Always Dreaming (5-1): Three wins in a row for Always Dreaming since veteran jock Johnny Velazquez took over, but only one graded stakes win, the Florida Derby, which he needed to get to Churchill Downs. A veteran rider, but little graded stakes experience and no races on a wet track. However, he’s been training well at Churchill and has put in some impressive bullet works since he arrived.
Extension Stand Mount Holder Axis Gimbal Stabilizer For DJI Ronin-S OSMO Pro[NEW] 4X Racerstar RS30A V2 30A Blheli_S ESC OPTO 2-4S Support Oneshot42 MultishCARBURETOR 60Y FSa-110 OS44981000 O.S. Engines Genuine Parts
Thunder Snow (20-1):Holmes Hobbies PULLER PRO BL 540 STUBBY 2700KV This is the European entry. Entering the gates as a multiple graded stakes winner in Europe with extremely impressing speed figures, but has no American racing experience and has ran most of his races at sprint distances. The check mark on this horse goes to the connections and that the fields in Europe are bigger than they are here. The UAE Derby, which Thunder Snow won, had 15 entries. He will not be shy of the 20 in the gate.
State of Honor (30-1): I wanted to make this horse my superfecta filler, but he has one knock: His jockey, Jose Lezcano. Julien Leparoux has been on State of Honor for his last four races, which were stakes races, and in which State of Honor finished on the board all four times. But, Leparoux is also the jockey for Classic Empire. (What a choice?) This Mark Casse trainee gets a definite look and will be taking superfecta money come post time.
Practical Joke (20-1) was doing fine until he got into races with the other Derby contenders then he couldn’t seem to get around Gunnevera, Classic Empire or Irap. He has no wet surface races, doesn’t like the distance or the crowds.
- WARGAME Terrain Scenery Lava Volcano SET Handcrafted
- BRITAINS SOLDIERS 16044 - Colonial Militia Standing at Ready No.1
- Paragrafix PGX119 Lost In Space The Chariot Photoetch & Decal Set - Moebius 902
- Attop W8 Remote Control Drone Dual GPS 1080P 5G WIFI HD Professional Aerial
- Kings Models 1 43 1953 Ferrari 500 F2 Belgian GP Louis Rosier
- Spark Model S2592 Peugeot 908 'Davidson - Gene - Wurz' 4th pl Le Mans 2011
- 1 18 1965 Chevrolet Corvette - Chevy Diecast Model Car
- SERIES 5 LEGO MIXELS - SET OF 6 AS SHOWN IN PICTURE - NEW & FACTORY SEALED
- Jimmy And Jey USO Elite Series 31
- DC UNIVERSE CLASSICS MR. TERRIFIC JSA Mattel Wave 6 Loose complete
- golden Girl - Vultura Le Vautour (boite Galoob USA)
- RASCALS VARMINTS & CRITTERS Deadlands RPG Pinnacle Wild Weird West Roleplaying
- MARVEL - Carnage Marvel Now ArtFX+ 1 10 Pvc Figure Kotobukiya
- Trumpeter 1 48 A-37B Dragonfly
- Slot Racing Set by Carrera Super Mario Kart Ninja Turtles NEW
- H28036 Hyper 28 Piston Liner Set (Not 'Mac 28')
- TWH022 is he superb model of the Bucyrus 49HR Drilling rig NEW
- Mercedes Sls Amg Gt3 Team Mann-Filter H Nurburgring 2017 SPARK 1 43 SG317
- CORGI TOYS 226 MORRIS MINI-MINOR blueE
- LEGO Modular Town Hall (10224) BNIB
- Yonezawa Space patrol vintage flying saucer battery space toy 1960’s , Japan
- 1 48 Pre Built Bell Hue UH1 - Vietnam Erea No.2
- NFL NEW YORK GIANTS PHIL SIMMS McFARLANES LEGENDS SERIES 6 ALL STAR LEVEL
- Vintage GI Joe Classic Apollo astronaut Buzz ALDRIN 1999 en boite boxed 1 6
- IMAGINEXT DC Super Friends Robo Batcave Great Condition”COMPLETE SET” SEE IMAGES
- AS29145 REEDY XP SC1300 BRUSHLESS ESC
- Castorland C151431 Puzzle voile Au Coucher Du Soleil (1500 Pièces)
- LOOKSMART - 1 18 - FERRARI J50 - 2017 - LS18016A
- Venturi America (2013) Resin Model Car S2248
- UT Models 1 18 Scale diecast - 25OCT2017G Mercedes C AMG F1 Safety Model Car
- Lego 75825 The Angry Birds Movie Piggy Pirate Ship - Brand New
- 25mm biblical egyptian - archers 8 figures infantry - inf (22156)
- Dual brushless ESC Blade 230s - Z-BLH1517
- Avant 50110 Audi R10 Le Mans 2007 Slot Car 1 32
- JJRC H68 2.4G 4CH 6Axis WIFI FPV 2MP HD 720P Camera RC Drone Quadcopter Headless
- Great Mazinger Insect Warrior Beast General Scarabeth Dynamite Action Figure
- STAR WARS VINTAGE 1977 ORIGINAL C-3PO FIGURE COO HK AFA 80
- Loose Marvel Legends BAF Iron Man HulkBuster complete HASBRO (Avengers)
- Battlefront Rules and cards for World War 2 Wargaming
- Dinky 157 Jaguar XK120 Coupe. Two-Tone Cerise Sky bluee. Very Near-Mint. Boxed.
- Jaguar G3 Team Emily Frey H Spa 2016 Frey Ortelli Costa SPARK 1 43 SB121 M
- Matchbox b - Hydraulic Excavator - orange Yellow (MW) - B NB
- Lego LOTR – Mines of Moria Set 9473 – Retired BNISB
- Arcadia Kōtetsu Jeeg Robot + Panseroid + 2°BODY Limited (ex cms cm's Brave 35)
- Action Man Anniversary Figures x 4 set
- HIKARI DC ICE FREEZE BATMAN SOFUBI FUNKO UK SELLER
- 14084 Tamiya Kawasaki Ninja Zx-12R 1 12th Plastic Kit Assembly Bike
- 7FE2 App Control Live Stable Gimbal GSS Aircraft Quadcopter Helicopter
- Teacher Created Resources I Have Who Has Gr 2-3 Academic Vocabulary Games
- RARE BOXSET NOREV SIMCA CHAMBORD PRESIDENTIAL 1958-1959 GENERAL DE GAULLE
- MODELCARGROUP MCG18072 CADILLAC FLEETWOOD SERIES 60 SPECIAL SEDAN 1 18 DIE CAST
- MINICHAMPS Porsche Macan 2013 (grey metallic) 1 43 410062602
- Lego Mindstorms EV3 Infrared Sensor (95654) and Beacon (45508) - Free Postage
- Mastermind Creations R-11 Reformatted Seraphicus Prominon Core and Power Cradle
- OriToy Acid Rain World Military K6 Jungle Stronghold ST2k Figure Set New