The 143rd Kentucky Derby is May 6th at Churchill Downs in Kentucky and a 70% chance of rain is in the forecast. Finding a good mudder in this group of 20 is nearly impossible. We thank Mike Battaglia, the odds maker at Churchill Downs, for giving us a morning line favorite at 4-1, Classic Empire, but come race day his odds will plummet from that enticing 4-1.
Mudders with potential:
The Cat With Antlers WF2019 Exclusive Kaori Hinata White MorrisClassic Empire (4-1): Broke his maiden on a wet surface at Churchill Downs in 2016. Veteran rider Julien Leparoux has been aboard for all of Classic Empire’s starts.
Tapwrit (20-1): Also broke his maiden over a wet surface. My concern with Tapwrit is that his head is not in the game. He’s worth at look in a superfecta at this price and on Derby Day.
DUNE ARALE-CHAN orange 7in. Figure Dr. Slump Akira Toriyama Sofubi Vinyl ToyBullmark KAIJU BARASA BOOSKA gold color Figure sofubi vinyl Japan ultramanGormley (15-1): Also has a win on a wet surface in California, but a wet surface in Southern California is very different than a wet surface in Kentucky. The only advantage for Gormley is his veteran jockey, Victor Espinoza. Gormley races well in California but the ship to Kentucky is a mystery.
Battle of Midway (30-1): Another California shipper who broke his maiden on a wet Santa Anita surface. Finished second behind Gormley in the Santa Anita Derby, has always been in the money in all of his four races. In a very scattered Derby, this horse deserves a look, especially at this price.
The Real Deals:
Classic Empire has been on my radar (and everyone else’s) Arcane Divination 5 Gabriel Archangel Dunny Stone Art Figure by JRYU LE 1 350since he won the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile. He’s kind of a sassy horse. He’s been known to train when he feels like it, but certainly shows up for the race. With his veteran jockey, consistent money finishes on his resume, and can run on a wet surface, Classic Empire lands on the top of my list. Besides all that, he’s American Pharaoh’s little brother. So the pedigree is perfect.
Green Camo Hello Kitty TEQ63 Vinyl Figure by Quiccs x Sanrio x Kidrobot - IamRetPOPMART MOLLY「cute sea creatures series」1BOX (12 pieces)
McCracken (5-1): McCracken finished third in his last race behind Practical Joke and Irap in the Bluegrass, but again, he didn’t need to win because he was already in with his win in the Sam F. Davis Stakes. Until the Bluegrass, McCracken was undefeated, and veteran jockey Brian Hernandez, Jr. has been with him from the first race.Used Hysteric Mini 3rd Model Sofubi Doll Soft Vinyl Figure Rare Limited F S
Filling out the Superfecta:
Always Dreaming (5-1): Three wins in a row for Always Dreaming since veteran jock Johnny Velazquez took over, but only one graded stakes win, the Florida Derby, which he needed to get to Churchill Downs. A veteran rider, but little graded stakes experience and no races on a wet track. However, he’s been training well at Churchill and has put in some impressive bullet works since he arrived.
Ultra Kaiju Girl Project Gomora ver. Gijinka Sofubi Figure Bishoujo NWBF S STARWARS APE VCD C3PO Medicom Toy's Vinyl Collectible Dolls BABY MILOThe Loyal Subjects SDDC John Cena - Clear White
Thunder Snow (20-1):Used 43 King Kong out of print BANDAI 1993 F S This is the European entry. Entering the gates as a multiple graded stakes winner in Europe with extremely impressing speed figures, but has no American racing experience and has ran most of his races at sprint distances. The check mark on this horse goes to the connections and that the fields in Europe are bigger than they are here. The UAE Derby, which Thunder Snow won, had 15 entries. He will not be shy of the 20 in the gate.
State of Honor (30-1): I wanted to make this horse my superfecta filler, but he has one knock: His jockey, Jose Lezcano. Julien Leparoux has been on State of Honor for his last four races, which were stakes races, and in which State of Honor finished on the board all four times. But, Leparoux is also the jockey for Classic Empire. (What a choice?) This Mark Casse trainee gets a definite look and will be taking superfecta money come post time.
Practical Joke (20-1) was doing fine until he got into races with the other Derby contenders then he couldn’t seem to get around Gunnevera, Classic Empire or Irap. He has no wet surface races, doesn’t like the distance or the crowds.
- Hand Carved Mahogany Wooden Mahagany British Bulldog
- BORGWARD ISABELLA Cabriolet 1959 red MINICHAMPS 1 43
- New Sealed Lego Town City 7696 Commuter Jet Sealed - Rare Airline Exclusive set.
- NFL Legends 5 Dan Marino White Variant Action Figure McFarlane Toys Dolphins
- Vintage Action Man Rare German Stormtrooper Arctic Snow Outfit
- 2007 TMNT COWABUNGA CARL PARTY VAN MISBRARE- PLAYMATES
- 1 35 Meng leopard 2a4
- FA-40A,4-CYCLE GLOW ENGINE SAITO040A SAITO
- 4 Pushers + Brand New Complete American Mahjong Set in Waterproof Burgundy Bag
- Lesney Matchbox Superfast Chevy Corvette Pre-Production RARE Wheels
- 1 72 WWII German Model three tank type N Tank model Tank of world
- Schuco Opel Kapitan Cream in 1 43 scale diecast 02633
- Very Rare Classic Lego 2002 Harry Potter Set 4731
- Ted Dibiase Million Dollar Man Hasbro Wrestling Figure 1991 WWF WWE MOC Spanish
- 1 6 DRAGON GERMAN FELDGENDARMERIE MILITARY POLICE+DOG+MP-40 WW2 DID BBI 21ST
- MARVEL Legends Infinite Series Build A Figure HULKBUSTER Complete Set of 7 + BAF
- 25mm dark ages vikings - warriors 10 figures - inf (25626)
- HOBBYBOSS 1 48 RUSSIAN MiG-31B BM FOXHOUND
- M B SCALEXTRIC MOTO GP RUBEN XAUS - DUCATI REF C6013
- bluee 2.49cc 15 Side Exhaust Hand Pull Starter Engine for 1 8 1 10 1 12 Car
- (Fairy Garden) - Light-up Fairy Garden Kit - Create, Plant & Grow a Magical