The 143rd Kentucky Derby is May 6th at Churchill Downs in Kentucky and a 70% chance of rain is in the forecast. Finding a good mudder in this group of 20 is nearly impossible. We thank Mike Battaglia, the odds maker at Churchill Downs, for giving us a morning line favorite at 4-1, Classic Empire, but come race day his odds will plummet from that enticing 4-1.
Mudders with potential:
1 6 Scale Toy U.S. Marine Corps Sniper - Ghillie Suit & Uniform SetClassic Empire (4-1): Broke his maiden on a wet surface at Churchill Downs in 2016. Veteran rider Julien Leparoux has been aboard for all of Classic Empire’s starts.
Tapwrit (20-1): Also broke his maiden over a wet surface. My concern with Tapwrit is that his head is not in the game. He’s worth at look in a superfecta at this price and on Derby Day.
DRAGON 1 6 SCALE WW II GERMAN KURT LAH DIVISIONCAT TOYS CT008 A 1 6 Female Head sculpt for 12'' Female Figure Doll PhicenGormley (15-1): Also has a win on a wet surface in California, but a wet surface in Southern California is very different than a wet surface in Kentucky. The only advantage for Gormley is his veteran jockey, Victor Espinoza. Gormley races well in California but the ship to Kentucky is a mystery.
Battle of Midway (30-1): Another California shipper who broke his maiden on a wet Santa Anita surface. Finished second behind Gormley in the Santa Anita Derby, has always been in the money in all of his four races. In a very scattered Derby, this horse deserves a look, especially at this price.
The Real Deals:
Classic Empire has been on my radar (and everyone else’s) Godzilla 1954 Real Artwork Series 3-D Poster Art Statuesince he won the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile. He’s kind of a sassy horse. He’s been known to train when he feels like it, but certainly shows up for the race. With his veteran jockey, consistent money finishes on his resume, and can run on a wet surface, Classic Empire lands on the top of my list. Besides all that, he’s American Pharaoh’s little brother. So the pedigree is perfect.
KENNER STEVE SCOUT SEARCH FOR THE SPANISH GALLEON COMPLETE SET NEW NO BOXHASBRO GI JOE ACTION PILOT CRASH CREW FOIL SUIT C. 1970 HONG KONG NO VISO
McCracken (5-1): McCracken finished third in his last race behind Practical Joke and Irap in the Bluegrass, but again, he didn’t need to win because he was already in with his win in the Sam F. Davis Stakes. Until the Bluegrass, McCracken was undefeated, and veteran jockey Brian Hernandez, Jr. has been with him from the first race.Janky Series 1 Dalek Green Plus Secret Pink Figures Super Plastic
Filling out the Superfecta:
Always Dreaming (5-1): Three wins in a row for Always Dreaming since veteran jock Johnny Velazquez took over, but only one graded stakes win, the Florida Derby, which he needed to get to Churchill Downs. A veteran rider, but little graded stakes experience and no races on a wet track. However, he’s been training well at Churchill and has put in some impressive bullet works since he arrived.
G.I.JOE 25ème Anniversaire - 2009 - Beachhead (Hall of Heroes)Vintage action man 40th anniversary luftwaffe pilot uniform carded boxedGI JOE COBRA DREADNOK AIR ASSAULT FANG PARTS LOT RARE SKY HTF 4.00 S H VINTAGE
Thunder Snow (20-1):Ultra Nyan Rad Rame galaxxxy Soft Vinyl Vintage Rare Limited F S This is the European entry. Entering the gates as a multiple graded stakes winner in Europe with extremely impressing speed figures, but has no American racing experience and has ran most of his races at sprint distances. The check mark on this horse goes to the connections and that the fields in Europe are bigger than they are here. The UAE Derby, which Thunder Snow won, had 15 entries. He will not be shy of the 20 in the gate.
State of Honor (30-1): I wanted to make this horse my superfecta filler, but he has one knock: His jockey, Jose Lezcano. Julien Leparoux has been on State of Honor for his last four races, which were stakes races, and in which State of Honor finished on the board all four times. But, Leparoux is also the jockey for Classic Empire. (What a choice?) This Mark Casse trainee gets a definite look and will be taking superfecta money come post time.
Practical Joke (20-1) was doing fine until he got into races with the other Derby contenders then he couldn’t seem to get around Gunnevera, Classic Empire or Irap. He has no wet surface races, doesn’t like the distance or the crowds.
- Vintage Rare Mattel Small Shots Brezzy Bridgit Figure Scooter 1970
- 2.5m PVC MAHOGANY QUARTER ROUND 13mm corner profile rod bar
- Pink Kar CV013 Bugatti Type 59 in Green, Rare Blank Base, mint unused boxed
- VOLANTEX V761-1 2.4Ghz 3CH Mini Trainstar 6-Axis RC Airplane Fixed Wing Drone WS
- LeapFrog LeapTV Learning Game Sports
- Dinky Toys Meccano White Mercedes Benz Racing Car 237 no 30 bluee Driver
- SOLIDO 353 GRUE TELESCOPIQUE ' NORDEST ' MINT BOXED
- Dragon DiD 1 6th scale Action figures USAAF BOMBER PILOT SKIP
- Marvel Legends Blob Build-A-Figure Pieces 2007 Hasbro X-Men Series
- Retired Ty Beanie Baby Collection Hansel & Gretel
- EXCLUSIVE 2007 JASON TAYLOR Miami Dolphins MCFARLANE NFL Football Action Figure
- Resin soldier, Art, Unteroffizier Heer, Wehrmacht soldier, Nazi German, 1 35
- Encyclopedia of Dove Magic Volume 1 (Limited) by Ian Adair - Book
- HARRY POTTER AND THE PRISONER OF AZKABAN BINDER ALBUM NEW RARE HERMIONE HAGRID 1
- Hobbyboss 1 48 Russian MiG-31 Foxhound
- Victory RC TWIN Rear Bigbore Exhaust for HPI Baja 5B 5T 5SC(RAW)-non Silenced
- Citrus - BRAND NEW
- Volkswagen 1200 Beetle (Beetle) Green (1949)
- Renault Megane Rs 2017 Yellow NOREV 1 18 NV185226 Model
- RARE ELIGOR CITROEN DS 21 1967 SERVICE FIRE AND RELIEF FIREFIGHTERS VAR FIRE
- TY CLASSIC GARLAND Holiday Christmas Pure White Soft Large Bear Teddy Toy MWMT